管守德

教授/博导

邮箱：guanshoude@ouc.edu.cn

地址：

三亚崖州湾科技城用友产业园1号楼7层

中国海洋大学三亚海洋研究院深远海立体观测网支撑保障与信息服务中心

教育经历:

2009年09月—2014年06月 中国海洋大学 物理海洋学 博士

2005年09月—2009年06月 中国海洋大学 海洋科学 学士

工作经历:

2025年5月至今 中国海洋大学三亚海洋研究院 教授

2025年5月至今 中国海洋大学 教授

2020年4月—2025年5月 中国海洋大学三亚海洋研究院 副教授

2019年12月—2025年5月 中国海洋大学 副教授

2017年12月—2019年11月 中国科学院海洋研究所 副研究员

2014年07月—2017年11月 中国科学院海洋研究所 博士后/助理研究员

研究方向/领域:

台风-海洋相互作用、内波与混合

主要业绩:

主要从事台风-海洋相互作用与内波混合的观测、机理与应用全链条研究，作为骨干参与“南海立体观测网”的构建，担任国家自然科学基金委“南海东北部-吕宋海峡”共享航次首席科学家，集成浮标/潜标等固定观测平台与水下滑翔机等移动观测平台，设计并实施了南海台风-海洋相互作用精细化观测实验，为国家气象中心台风外海监测、预报与气象会商提供实时观测数据支撑。主要研究成果包括：首次基于现场观测量化了台风内核区海表面降温，发现卫星和模式均存在显著冷偏差，揭示了当前主流天气与气候模式模拟超强台风偏弱的原因；提出并建立了南海台风-内潮相互作用的理论框架，揭示内潮通过加强跨等密度面混合与海表面降温的负反馈作用抑制南海超强台风发展的动力学与热力学机理；揭示了随着全球变暖西北太平洋台风登陆强度显著增加的现象与机制，阐明了黄海冷水团、长江冲淡水等陆架海动力过程与台风相互作用机理；提出了台风尺度、路径转折等大气参量影响台风强度演化的“海洋通道”机制。

主持国家重点研发计划课题、国家自然科学基金面上项目等国家级项目/课题4项，主持海南省重点研发计划等省部级项目7项，在Nature Geoscience、Nature Communications、Communications Earth & Environment、Journal of Physical Oceanography、Journal of Climate等国际学术期刊发表论文50余篇。

论文发表情况:

第一或通讯作者论文：

以第一/通讯作者在Nature Geoscience、Nature Communications、Communications Earth & Environment、Journal of Physical Oceanography、Journal of Climate等国际学术期刊发表论文27篇。

27. Guan, S.^#, Huang, M.^#, Cai, W.*, Zhang, Z., Lin, I.*, Kim, H., Zhou, L., Lin, X., Xu, Z., Jin, F-F., Mei W., Wang Q., Zhou C., Meng, Z., Tian, J., & Zhao W.* (2026). Weak self-induced cooling of tropical cyclones amid fast sea surface warming. Nature Geoscience. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-025-01879-x

Editor特邀撰写Research Briefing:

Guan, S., & Zhao, W. (2026). Cyclone-induced cooling is weaker than suggested by previous estimates. Nature Geoscience. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-025-01900-3

26. Liu, Y., Guan, S.*, Zhao, W., Liu, P, & Wang, C. (2026). Dynamic Modulation of Storm Size on Upper-Ocean Temperature Response to Tropical Cyclones. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 56(1), 21-41. https://doi.org/10.1175/JPO-D-25-0125.1

25. Wang, Q., Guan, S.*, Luo, C., Zhao, W., Zhang, L., & Yang, S. (2025). Record-breaking lifespan, rapid intensification, and long-lasting coastal activity of tropical cyclone Freddy (2023) in the South Indian Ocean. Environmental Research Letter, 20, 6. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/add7ec

24. Guan, S.*^{, #}, Huang, M.^#, Lin, I. I., Wu, H.*, Lin, Y., Wu, Z., Zhang, Y., Jin, F. F., Wang, W., Hong, X., Li, C., Liu, Z., Lin, X., Zhao, W.*, & Tian, J. (2025). Widespread sea surface salinification induced by tropical cyclones over the Changjiang River Plume. Communications Earth & Environment, 6, 337. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-025-02317-x

23. Guan, S.*, Liu, P., Zhang, Y., Lin, I. I., Zhou, L., Yang, Q., Zhao, W., & Tian, J. (2025). Enhanced sea surface cooling and suppressed storm intensification during slow-moving track-turning stage of tropical cyclones. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 130(2), e2024JC022234, https://doi.org/10.1029/ 2024JC022234.

22. Liu, Y., Guan, S.*, Lin, I. I., Zhao, W., Jin, F. F., Liu, P., & Tian, J. (2025). Storm Size Modulates Tropical Cyclone Intensification through an Oceanic Pathway in Global Oceans. Journal of Climate, 38(4), 891-908, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-24-0398.1.

21. Liu, P., Guan, S.*, Lin, I. I., Huang, M., Jin, F. F., Wang, Q., Lu, Z., Zhao, W., & Tian, J. (2025). Response and feedback of mesoscale eddies to tropical cyclones over the South China Sea. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 130(1), e2024JD041414. https://doi.org/10.1029/2024JD041414.

20. Luo, C., Huang, M., Guan, S.*, Zhao, W.*, Tian, F., & Yang, Y. (2025). Subsurface Temperature and Salinity Structures Inversion Using a Stacking-Based Fusion Model from Satellite Observations in the South China Sea. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 42(1), 204-220, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-024-3312-x.

19. Zhang, Y., Wang, Y., Wang, C., Guan, S.*, & Zhao, W. (2025). Variability in Diurnal Internal Tides and Near-Inertial Waves in the Southern South China Sea Based on Mooring Observations. Journal of Marine Science and Engineering, 13, 577, https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse13030577

18. Jin, W., Guan, S.*, Chen, L., Tang, Z., Huang, M., Xu, X., & Zhao, W. (2025). Joint risk analysis of typhoon hazards based on coupled ADCIRC-SWAN model simulations around Hainan, China. Journal of Sea Research, 205, 102587. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.seares.2025.102587

17. 鲁启钰子，刘宇皓，管守德*，西北太平洋深海与中国近海对超强台风“灿都”(2021)的响应差异分析[J].海洋与湖沼, 2025, 56 (04): 792-805. DOI：10.11693/hyhz20250200038.

16. 杨原, 管守德*, 徐洋, 马继坤, 刘宇皓, 赵玮，台风参数对崖州湾台风风暴潮漫滩影响的敏感性研究[J]. 中国海洋大学学报 (自然科学版), 2025, 55(11) : 1-15.

15. Guan, S., Jin, F. F.*, Tian, J.*, Lin, I. I.*, Pun, I. F., Zhao, W., Huthnance, J., Xu, Z., Cai, W., Jing, Z., Zhou, L., Liu, P., Zhang, Y., Zhang, Z., Zhou, C., Yang, Q., Huang, X., Hou, Y., & Song, J. (2024). Ocean internal tides suppress tropical cyclones in the South China Sea. Nature Communications, 15(1), 3903, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-48003-y.

14. Wang, Y., Guan, S.*, Zhang, Z., Zhou, C., Xu, X., Guo, C., Zhao, W., & Tian, J. (2024). Observations of Parametric Subharmonic Instability of Diurnal Internal Tides in the Northwest Pacific. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 54(3), 849-87，https://doi.org/10.1175/JPO-D-23-0055.1.

13. 唐梓洋, 管守德*, 李爱莲, 赵玮. 海南岛周边海域台风风暴潮-海浪耦合作用机理研究[J]. 中国海洋大学学报 (自然科学版), 2024, 54(9): 1-11.

12. Zhang, Y., Liu, Y., Guan, S.*, Wang, Q., Zhao, W., & Tian, J. (2023). Sudden track turning of Typhoon Prapiroon (2012) enhanced the upper ocean response. Remote Sensing, 15(2), 302, https://doi.org/10.3390/rs15020302.

11. Zhang, H., Liu, Y., Liu, P., Guan, S.*, Wang, Q., Zhao, W., & Tian, J. (2023). Enhanced upper ocean response within a warm eddy to Typhoon Nakri (2019) during the sudden-turning stage. Deep Sea Research Part I: Oceanographic Research Papers, 199, 104112, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dsr.2023.104112.

10. Liu, Y., Guan, S.*, Lin, I. I., Mei, W., Jin, F. F., Huang, M., Zhang, Y., Zhao, W., & Tian, J. (2023). Effect of storm size on sea surface cooling and tropical cyclone intensification in the western north Pacific. Journal of Climate, 36(20), 7277-7296, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0949.1.

9. 罗灿，刘宇皓，王一帆，管守德*，赵玮. 南海上层海洋温度垂向结构的反演[J]. 数字海洋与水下攻防，2023，6（2）：186-197.

8. Guan, S., Zhao, W.*, Sun, L., Zhou, C., Liu, Z., Hong, X., Zhang, Y., Tian, J., & Hou, Y. (2021). Tropical cyclone-induced sea surface cooling over the Yellow Sea and Bohai Sea in the 2019 Pacific typhoon season. Journal of Marine Systems, 217, 103509, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmarsys.2021.103509. Editor's Choice

7. Li, A., Guan, S.*, Mo, D., Hou, Y.*, Hong, X., & Liu, Z. (2020). Modeling wave effects on storm surge from different typhoon intensities and sizes in the South China Sea. Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science, 235, 106551, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecss.2019.106551.

6. 管守德, 侯一筠*. 西北太平洋超强台风Tembin(2012)引起的海表面降温与强混合研究.海洋与湖沼, 2020, 51(6):1301-1309.

5. Guan, S., Li, S.*, Hou, Y., Hu, P., Liu, Z., & Feng, J. (2018). Increasing threat of landfalling typhoons in the western North Pacific between 1974 and 2013. International journal of applied earth observation and geoinformation, 68, 279-286, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jag.2017.12.017.

4. Li, S., Guan, S.*, Hou, Y., Liu, Y., & Bi, F. (2018). Evaluation and adjustment of altimeter measurement and numerical hindcast in wave height trend estimation in China’s coastal seas. International journal of applied earth observation and geoinformation, 67, 161-172, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jag.2018.01.007.

3. Guan, S.*, Liu, Z., Song, J., Hou, Y., & Feng, L. (2017). Upper ocean response to Super Typhoon Tembin (2012) explored using multiplatform satellites and Argo float observations. International Journal of Remote Sensing, 38(18), 5150-5167, https://doi.org/10.1080/01431161.2017.1335911.

2. Guan, S., Zhao, W., Huthnance, J., Tian, J.*, & Wang, J. (2014). Observed upper ocean response to typhoon Megi (2010) in the Northern South China Sea. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 119(5), 3134-3157, doi:10.1002/2013JC009661. Editor's Highlight

1. 管守德，南海北部近惯性振荡研究: [博士学位论文]. 青岛:中国海洋大学, 2014.